Tests of AR(2) unit roots and cointegration with the GPH statistic
نویسندگان
چکیده
Time domain tests of unit roots and cointegration are often made after a model search procedure has been made in order to reduce erroneus inference caused by model misspecification. An alternative to this is to use a semi parametric method like the GPH (Geweke & Porter-Hudak, 1983) test where the properties of the spectral density close to the zero frequency are exploited, see Cheung & Lai (1993) who use this to test for cointegration in a bivariate system. In this paper we further investigate the size and power properties of this test. The results provide evidence that the test has not only good power properties against AR(1) and ARFIMA(0,d,0) alternatives, which was shown by Cheung and Lai (1993) but also against AR(2) alternatives. We show that the power of the test is not as good when applied to a raw time series as when applied to residuals from a cointegrating regression. The power can, in the AR(1) case, be significantly improved by using a larger bandwith than is usually done for the GPH estimator without imposing any size distortions. For the AR(2) alternative, however, severe size distortions appear when this is done.
منابع مشابه
Jörg Breitung and M. Hashem Pesaran Unit Roots and Cointegration in Panels
This paper provides a review of the literature on unit roots and cointegration in panels where the time dimension (T ), and the cross section dimension (N) are relatively large. It distinguishes between the rst generation tests developed on the assumption of the cross section independence, and the second generation tests that allow, in a variety of forms and degrees, the dependence that might ...
متن کاملUnit Roots and Cointegration in Panels∗
This paper provides a review of the literature on unit roots and cointegration in panels where the time dimension (T ), and the cross section dimension (N) are relatively large. It distinguishes between the first generation tests developed on the assumption of the cross section independence, and the second generation tests that allow, in a variety of forms and degrees, the dependence that might...
متن کاملPanel Unit Root Tests Under Cross Sectional Dependence
In this paper alternative approaches for testing the unit root hypothesis in panel data are considered. First, a robust version of the Dickey-Fuller t-statistic under contemporaneous correlated errors is suggested. Second, the GLS t-statistic is considered, which is based on the t-statistic of the transformed model. The asymptotic power of both tests against a sequence of local alternatives is ...
متن کاملExploring the Relationship between Consumer Credits and Interest Rates in Turkey: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis
This paper investigates the relationship between consumer credits and interest rates in Turkey based on the fractional cointegration approach by using daily observations over the period from 4 January 2002 to 24 December 2010. First, we ignore the possible structural breaks in the series and perform the Geweke and Porter-Hudak (GPH) test on the residuals for fractional cointegration. Second, we...
متن کاملTest for cointegration rank in general vector autoregressions
Johansen derived the asymptotic theory for his cointegration rank test statisic for a vector autoregression where the parameters are restricted so the process is integrated of order one. It is investigated to what extent these parameter restrictions are binding. The eigenvalues of Johansen's eigenvalue problem are shown to have the same consistency rates accross the parameter space. The test st...
متن کامل